Global Retirement Calculator 2026 (Australia & Worldwide)

Plan your retirement from anywhere, model returns and inflation, and estimate the capital you’ll need with or without Age Pension support.

Performance

Performance Overview

Success Probability
Calculating…
Goal Status
Run the calculator
Projected at Retirement
Age —
Required Capital
Buffer / Shortfall
vs required capital

Run a calculation first

Click Calculate in the sidebar, then return here for AI insights.

Tornado chart — coming soon

Shows which input assumptions have the biggest impact on your retirement outcome.

Sensitivity analysis — coming soon

A heat-map showing how success probability changes as return and inflation assumptions vary.

How this retirement model works

The calculator projects your balance from today to retirement using your expected annual return. Contributions can optionally rise with inflation each year. At retirement, we compare your target income (in today’s dollars) with a chosen withdrawal rate to estimate the required capital and whether your projected balance leaves a buffer.

Quick start

  1. Enter current balance, monthly contribution, and your expected annual return.
  2. Choose inflation and whether to index contributions to inflation.
  3. Set your target retirement income (today’s dollars) and withdrawal rate.
  4. Select a spending mode (never run out vs spend to $0 by age).
  5. Hit Calculate and review the chart, KPIs, and the requirement vs projection gap.

What you control

  • Target income: monthly spending in retirement, shown in today’s dollars.
  • Withdrawal rate: % of capital withdrawn per year in retirement. Required capital ~ annual target income ÷ withdrawal rate.
  • Expected return & inflation: long-run nominal return (before inflation) and an inflation assumption. You can index contributions to inflation.
  • Contributions: monthly savings until retirement; optionally indexed for purchasing power.
  • Spending mode: Never run out (preserve capital in real terms) or Spend to $0 by age (draw down to zero at a chosen age).

Behind the math (step by step)

  1. Accumulation: grow balance each year by the expected return; add contributions (optionally indexed by inflation).
  2. Real vs nominal: targets are shown in today’s dollars; returns are entered before inflation.
  3. Required capital: required = (target_income_monthly × 12) / withdrawal_rate.
  4. Buffer / shortfall: at retirement, compare projected balance to required capital and compute the gap.
  5. Spend-to-$0 mode: compute a withdrawal path so balance reaches zero at the chosen age (assuming your return/inflation inputs).

Interpreting the outputs

  • Required capital: how much is needed to support the target income at your withdrawal rate.
  • Projected balance at retirement: what your accumulation is expected to reach by your retirement start.
  • Buffer (or shortfall): projected minus required. Positive = surplus; negative = gap to close.
  • Sensitivity: small changes to return, inflation, or withdrawal rate can materially change the result—test nearby values.

Worked example

A 50-year-old with $200,000 invested adds $1,000/month (inflation-indexed), expects 9% p.a. returns and 2.5% inflation, and targets $5,000/month (today’s dollars). With a 5.4% withdrawal rate, the required capital is roughly annual target income ÷ 5.4%. The calculator shows the projected balance and the buffer (or shortfall) versus that requirement.

Limitations & assumptions

  • Three scenarios (pessimistic/base/optimistic ±2% return) are shown; real returns vary year to year and sequence of returns matters.
  • Portfolio preset returns are long-run nominal averages (Vanguard Index Chart 2024, Morningstar AU) — not guarantees. Actual returns will vary significantly year to year.
  • Contributions use mid-year timing (earning approximately half a year of growth in the year contributed).
  • Investment fees and super tax are modelled; super accumulation earnings taxed at 15%, pension phase tax-free from age 60.
  • Australian super contribution caps ($30,000 concessional / $110,000 non-concessional for FY2025–26) are flagged but not enforced.
  • Age Pension thresholds are CPI-stepped annually in the projection, but actual future thresholds may differ.
  • Gap-closing strategies are computed in isolation — applying one changes the inputs for the others.
  • Inputs must use one consistent currency; outputs follow that currency.
  • Inflation is an assumption; actual purchasing power will vary with future CPI.

Glossary

  • Withdrawal rate: % of capital drawn annually in retirement.
  • Real (today's dollars): values adjusted to remove inflation effects.
  • Indexing contributions: increasing contributions each year by inflation to maintain purchasing power.
  • SG (Superannuation Guarantee): compulsory employer super contributions, 12% of gross salary from 1 July 2025 (FY2025-26). This is the legislated final rate.
  • Sequence-of-returns risk: the risk that poor returns early in retirement permanently reduce your portfolio even if long-run averages recover.

Related tools

FAQs

What do the portfolio presets mean?

The Portfolio Preset dropdown in the Returns & Inflation card fills in historically-grounded return assumptions based on Australian long-run averages. Conservative (~5% p.a.) is roughly 60% bonds/40% equities. Balanced (~7%) is roughly 50/50 — a common industry fund default. Growth (~8.5%) is ~70% equities. High Growth (~9.5%) is ~90% equities, similar to a diversified Australian equities index. These are nominal pre-fee returns; the Fees & Tax card applies your fee drag on top. Sources: Vanguard Index Chart 2024, Morningstar AU long-run data.

What is the gap-closing calculator?

When your projected capital falls short of your goal, the calculator shows three ways to close the gap: how much extra you'd need to save each month, how many more years you'd need to work, or what return you'd need. Each has an "Apply this" button that updates the relevant input instantly. Combining strategies is usually more realistic than one single change.

What is the Monte Carlo simulation?

After each calculation the tool runs 1,000 simulations where the annual return varies randomly each year using a log-normal distribution calibrated to your chosen portfolio's historical volatility (e.g. ~10% standard deviation for a Balanced fund). The probability of success shown is the fraction of those 1,000 paths where your money lasts the full projection horizon. The shaded band on the capital chart shows the 10th–90th percentile range across all simulations. A probability above 85% is considered strong; below 65% is at risk.

What is Transition to Retirement (TTR)?

TTR is an ATO-legislated strategy available to Australians aged 60–67 who are still working. You draw an income stream from your superannuation (minimum 4%, maximum 10% of account balance per year) and salary sacrifice an equivalent amount back into super. The net effect: same take-home pay, but you pay 15% contributions tax on the salary-sacrificed amount instead of your full marginal rate — typically saving thousands per year and accelerating super accumulation. Enter your gross salary and marginal rate in the Country & Local Rules card to see the estimated benefit.

What withdrawal rate should I use?

There's no single right number. Higher rates increase the risk of running out; lower rates require more capital. The calculator suggests a rate based on your inputs—treat it as a starting point. When the suggested rate exceeds 4% (capital preservation) or 5% (spend-down), the label turns amber as a caution. In Australia, ABP withdrawals must meet ATO minimums: 4% at 65–74, 5% at 75–79, 6% at 80–84, 7% at 85–89, 9% at 90–94, 11% at 95–99, and 14% at 100+. These are enforced automatically.

What are the ASFA retirement income benchmarks?

The ASFA Retirement Standard is the most widely referenced benchmark in Australia. For FY2025–26: a modest single retirement requires around $32,417/year ($2,700/month); a comfortable single retirement requires around $51,630/year ($4,310/month); a comfortable couple retirement requires around $72,663/year ($6,060/month). These assume home ownership. Use the quick-fill buttons in the Retirement Goal card to apply these directly.

When can I access my superannuation?

The superannuation preservation age is 60 for anyone born after 30 June 1964. You can access super from age 60 once a condition of release is met—most commonly retiring from employment. Age Pension eligibility is separate and starts at age 67. The calculator models super access from age 60 and Age Pension from age 67 independently.

Should I adjust contributions for inflation?

If your income typically keeps pace with inflation, indexing contributions helps maintain their real value. Otherwise, leave it off and test a higher flat contribution instead.

Are returns before or after inflation?

The "Expected Annual Return" is before inflation. We show targets in today's dollars to keep purchasing power clear.

Does this include taxes and fees?

Australian mode: yes. The calculator models investment management fees, the 15% super concessional entry tax (with Division 293 surcharge for high earners earning over $250k), 0% pension-phase earnings tax from age 60, non-super income tax drag, a 50% CGT discount on unrealised non-super gains at retirement, pre-60 super withdrawal tax, and automatic enforcement of concessional and non-concessional contribution caps.

Global mode: Enter your own "Tax Drag on Non-Super Earnings" percentage in the Fees & Tax card to model your local tax environment. No tax rules are assumed beyond what you enter.

In both modes this is a planning estimate — specific tax outcomes depend on your personal circumstances, fund structure, and applicable legislation. Consider professional advice for material decisions.

What does the shaded band on the capital chart mean?

The shaded band shows the range of projected outcomes if your actual return is 2% higher (optimistic) or 2% lower (pessimistic) than stated. This illustrates sequence-of-returns risk. The base projection (green bars) uses your exact inputs.

Can I use any currency?

Yes. Use one currency consistently for all inputs; the outputs will be in that currency.

Can I use this as a FIRE (Financial Independence, Retire Early) calculator?

Yes — while this tool is built around the Australian retirement system, it handles FIRE scenarios fully.

  • Retire before 60 (early FIRE): Set your retirement age to 40–55. The calculator draws from your non-super ("other investments") bucket first, then automatically switches to super at preservation age 60.
  • Pre-60 super tax: If you plan to access super before 60 (via a condition of release), set the Pre-60 Withdrawal Tax Rate in the Fees & Tax card. Most Australians pay 17–22% effective rate on the taxable component.
  • The 4% Rule / SWR: Set Withdrawal Rate to 4% for the classic capital-preservation target. The Monte Carlo tab shows your probability of success across 1,000 random market paths — the key sequence-of-returns test for FIRE.
  • Lean / Fat / Barista FIRE: Use the Retirement Goal card for your monthly target. For Barista FIRE, add ongoing part-time income in the Country & Local Rules card (Employment Income in retirement). For Coast FIRE, compare projections with and without future contributions.
  • No Age Pension: For FIRE users who don't plan to rely on the Age Pension (retiring at 40 won't qualify at 67 either, but some do plan for it), switch to "Global" mode to model without it — or leave Australian mode on and see what pension eligibility looks like decades later.

The calculator does not promote any particular financial strategy. FIRE is a planning framework. These are general illustrations only — consider professional advice for early-retirement decisions.

Disclaimer: This calculator provides general estimates and does not consider your objectives, financial situation or needs. Outcomes depend on investment returns, inflation, tax and fees, which can change. Consider professional advice. See our full disclaimer.